Nick Smith Consulting
Agriculture

 Nick on his family farmDuring my final term, Congress passed and the President signed a new farm bill that increased funding by more than $70 billion over the next ten years. Part of the rationale for the increase was that the new farm bill would help assure that the United States would continue to be able to produce its own food. Additionally, in the 1990s, Congress passed legislation to start a crop insurance program to help insure against low commodity prices or natural disasters. The goal was to accommodate budgeting to have fixed annual subsidies for insurance, rather than huge disaster payment in some years. Now, however, the Senate has added $5.9 billion of "crop assistance" to the Interior Appropriations bill in order to cover disaster losses and low prices.

 The logic of supplemental payments for disasters and low prices has arguments on both sides. Government guarantees minimum prices for many commodities and pays about 75 percent of the cost of crop insurance for producers. We've been trying to move in a direction to better control large fluctuations in government expenditures in low price and weather disaster years. We have tried develop policy to encourage producers to take steps to manage their own risks. Unfortunately, the supplemental disaster payments tend to undercut the effort to get producers to buy crop insurance. The Senate proposal now pending would pay almost identical amounts to farmers who took out crop insurance and those who didn't. If the government is willing to have a disaster bailout for those who don't buy the insurance, it certainly doesn't encourage future purchases of that insurance. Nick discussing farm policy

 The question then is if insurance is not available on some specialty crops, should government pay those farmers when a disaster occurs? For example, Michigan dry bean producers lost 86 percent of the crop in 2001, making it the leanest crop since records began to be kept in the early 1900s. Severe spring weather this year led to a 95 percent reduction in the tart cherry crop, a 94 percent loss in plums, 75 percent in sweet cherries, 75 percent in grapes, 74 percent in peaches, and 40 percent in apples. None of these producers had access to crop insurance, with the exception of a pilot program available to sweet cherry producers in just three Michigan counties. If we're going to have a disaster payment this year it needs to be limited and the costs needs to be offset. That means we need to reduce expenditures for other programs to come up with the money for farm disaster payments. With the government expecting to run a $157 billion deficit in the fiscal year ending Nick receiving an award on farm payment limitationsSeptember 30, and a $145 billion deficit in the fiscal year beginning in October, we need to do a better job of controlling spending. The Administration's budget and the House budget resolution would increase discretionary spending by 13 percent over last year. While the bulk of this is for defense and homeland security, there should be enough to cover other needs as well. The Senate is paying for "crop assistance" payments and other popular goodies by asking for an even higher level of spending.

 We already are borrowing money to pay for expenditures for the next fiscal year starting October 1. Ultimately, we are going to have to decide how much debt we can place on our children and grandchildren, and for what reasons. Approving a huge bailout for farmers without reducing other expenditures doesn't meet the test of good fiscal policy.

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